FAQ

Does the model just copy the betting line?

No. Projections come only from game scores pulled from ESPN, run through the TuttleMath Hybrid, PRO/REG and Reverse Logic. The book's line is used afterward to grade the edge.

Why are early-season picks capped at LEAN?

Until both teams have played 3 games, the model runs mostly on last season and can't see roster moves, so it won't grade anything higher than LEAN. Every percentage also includes projection uncertainty that shrinks as the season fills in.

What do PLAY, LEAN and PASS mean?

Measured against standard -110 juice (52.4% to break even): PLAY = 4+ points of edge, LEAN = 1.5 to 4, PASS = less.

Which sports are covered?

NFL, college football (FBS), NBA and men's college basketball.

How long until my access is on?

As soon as your Cash App payment is matched to your account email. Put the email you signed up with in the payment note.

Where does the data come from?

Final scores and quarter scores from ESPN's public feeds. Nothing is hand-entered.

Can I change the line myself?

Yes. Members can type any total or spread and the 10,000 games re-run instantly.

Why does the fair line end in .5?

Fair lines are put on the hook so a pick can never push.

What is the dispersion dot chart?

A spread of simulated finals showing how wide this specific game can swing.

Does it cover live games?

Sims run from pregame data. Live and final games still show their scores on the slate.

Is this a guarantee?

No. It's a model, for information and entertainment. Bet responsibly.

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10K Sims projections are for information and entertainment only and are not a guarantee of any result. Bet responsibly; 21+ where legal. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Game data from ESPN public feeds. © 2026 10ksims.com
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